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The world from Amsterdam, by Nick Ottens

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Carles Puigdemont Mariano Rajoy

World Won’t Let Catalonia or Kurdistan Come Quietly onto the Map

Independence for Catalonia and Kurdistan would upend the regional order in Europe and the Middle East.

Ryan BohlRyan BohlOctober 4, 2017December 1, 2021

British Conservatives Face Three Structural Challenges

Membership is down. The youth vote has been lost. The political landscape is shifting in Labour’s favor.

David DowningDavid DowningOctober 4, 2017November 15, 2021
Barcelona Spain

Will Catalonia Declare Independence from Spain?

There are reasons to doubt the Catalans will go that far, but the politics don’t favor pragmatists.

Nick OttensNick OttensOctober 3, 2017October 28, 2021
David Cameron Angela Merkel

European Fears of “Jamaica” Coalition Are Overblown

The Free Democrats are hawkish on eurozone reform, but so was Wolfgang Schäuble.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 29, 2017November 13, 2021

Catalonia Unlikely to Declare Independence After Referendum

Even if a majority votes to break away, the regional government could balk at declaring independence unilaterally.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 28, 2017December 2, 2021
Angela Merkel

German Election Shows Stabilizing Effect of Multiparty Democracy

Two-party systems are polarizing by design. Democracies with multiple parties are more stable.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 27, 2017April 20, 2022

Rebutting Trump’s Arguments for Canceling the Iran Nuclear Deal

The arguments for repealing the nuclear agreement are variously misguided and dishonest.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 27, 2017November 27, 2021
Paolo Gentiloni Mariano Rajoy Emmanuel Macron Angela Merkel Mark Rutte

Evaluating Macron’s Proposals for EU Reform

The Frenchman’s proposals fall into three categories: difficult, doable and low-hanging fruit.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 26, 2017November 12, 2021
Lars Løkke Rasmussen Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron Suffered Two Setbacks This Weekend

Senate elections in France and federal elections in Germany have made Macron’s job more difficult.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 25, 2017November 10, 2021
Donald Trump

Trump Is Taking Over Republican Party, Making Realignment More Likely

Most Republicans support the president, but a large minority puts the party first. That could portend a political realignment.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 25, 2017November 27, 2021
Angela Merkel

“Jamaica” Coalition Looks Like Only Option in Germany

A three-party coalition won’t be easy, but it may be the only option short of minority government.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 24, 2017November 9, 2021
Texans Republican National Convention Saint Paul Minnesota

The Many Scenarios of a Republican Civil War

The business wing could prevail. America Firsters could split the right-wing vote. Or libertarians could spot an opportunity.

Ryan BohlRyan BohlSeptember 22, 2017December 2, 2021
Bilbao Spain

Attitudes in Spain’s Basque Country Mirror Those in Catalonia

Fears of a domino effect are overblown. The Basques have adapted to Spanish rule.

Ainslie NobleAinslie NobleSeptember 22, 2017November 29, 2021
Marine Le Pen

Why Marine Le Pen Turned on Her Right-Hand Man

On key issues, Florian Philippot was on the wrong side of the National Front’s electorate.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 21, 2017November 10, 2021
Alexis Tsipras Martin Schulz

Social Democrats in Germany Make Same Mistake as Dutch

Center-left parties in both countries try to unite working- and middle-class voters. What if those groups no longer want to be united?

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 19, 2017December 5, 2021

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