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The world from Amsterdam, by Nick Ottens

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American Party Realignment

America’s political parties are realigning. College-educated voters in affluent Sun Belt states are switching to the Democrats. Many working voters in the industrial Midwest voted for Donald Trump in 2016.

Miami Florida

Race Is a Poor Predictor of How Americans Will Vote

Neither Latino nor white Americans vote as a bloc.

Nick OttensNick OttensNovember 11, 2020December 2, 2021
Cleveland Ohio

Education Has Become the Dividing Line in American Politics

College graduates vote Democratic. Non-college voters prefer Republicans.

Nick OttensNick OttensAugust 17, 2020October 25, 2021
Joe Biden

Romney-to-Clinton Voters Prefer Biden

Democrats would be wise to take the preferences of center-right voters into account.

Nick OttensNick OttensNovember 6, 2019November 13, 2022
United States Capitol Washington

America’s Two-Party System Is Out of Date

Both parties have essentially accepted the New Deal consensus. What’s next?

Nick OttensNick OttensApril 1, 2019October 24, 2021

Trying to Turn Republicans into Liberals Is Now Hopeless

Republicans have surrendered to Donald Trump and his philosophy. Classical liberals should work with the Democrats.

Nick OttensNick OttensOctober 8, 2018December 2, 2021

Three Reasons Liberals Need to Look Left, Not Right, for Allies

Free marketeers now have more in common with social democrats than they do with conservatives.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 8, 2018November 29, 2021
Austin Texas suburb

New Figures Argue Democrats Should Target College Graduates in Suburbs

Hillary Clinton got more support from white college graduates than we knew.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 1, 2018December 4, 2021
United States Capitol Washington

Midterm Elections Likely to Deepen Blue-Red Divide in America

Democrats are the party of the cities and diversity. Republicans are the party of the left behind.

Nick OttensNick OttensJuly 22, 2018October 24, 2021
de Young Museum San Francisco California

How and Why Americans Switch Parties

Views about cultural and demographic change play a big role.

Nick OttensNick OttensDecember 19, 2017November 29, 2021
Alexis Tsipras Martin Schulz

Lessons for Democrats from Europe

Europe’s social democrats tried to win back working-class voters.

Nick OttensNick OttensOctober 31, 2017November 13, 2021
Donald Trump

Trump Is Taking Over Republican Party, Making Realignment More Likely

Most Republicans support the president, but a large minority puts the party first. That could portend a political realignment.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 25, 2017November 27, 2021
Hillary Clinton

Democrats Should Look to the Middle, Not to the Left

Middle-class Americans have more in common with Democrats than with Donald Trump’s coalition of the left-behind.

Nick OttensNick OttensSeptember 6, 2017November 27, 2021

Resistance to Trump Is Making Strange Bedfellows

“Moderate” Republicans are not reining in the president. Democrats need to ally with the purists on the right.

Nick OttensNick OttensJuly 18, 2017November 30, 2021
Donald Trump

Democrats Need Not Obsess About the White Working Class

The party is more comfortable appealing to ethnic minorities and liberal college graduates.

Nick OttensNick OttensApril 5, 2017November 27, 2021
Cleveland Ohio

Arizona or Ohio? Two Paths for Democrats

Democrats must decide whether to lure back working-class whites or double down on a Sun Belt coalition.

Nick OttensNick OttensJanuary 20, 2017October 25, 2021

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