Race Is a Poor Predictor of How Americans Will Vote
Neither Latino nor white Americans vote as a bloc.
America’s political parties are realigning. College-educated voters in affluent Sun Belt states are switching to the Democrats. Many working voters in the industrial Midwest voted for Donald Trump in 2016.
Neither Latino nor white Americans vote as a bloc.
College graduates vote Democratic. Non-college voters prefer Republicans.
Democrats would be wise to take the preferences of center-right voters into account.
Both parties have essentially accepted the New Deal consensus. What’s next?
Republicans have surrendered to Donald Trump and his philosophy. Classical liberals should work with the Democrats.
Free marketeers now have more in common with social democrats than they do with conservatives.
Hillary Clinton got more support from white college graduates than we knew.
Democrats are the party of the cities and diversity. Republicans are the party of the left behind.
Views about cultural and demographic change play a big role.
Europe’s social democrats tried to win back working-class voters.
Most Republicans support the president, but a large minority puts the party first. That could portend a political realignment.
Middle-class Americans have more in common with Democrats than with Donald Trump’s coalition of the left-behind.
“Moderate” Republicans are not reining in the president. Democrats need to ally with the purists on the right.
The party is more comfortable appealing to ethnic minorities and liberal college graduates.
Democrats must decide whether to lure back working-class whites or double down on a Sun Belt coalition.