Earlier this month, I argued that lurching to the left would be a risky strategy for Germany’s Social Democratic Party (SPD), but that the alternative — continuing to rule in a grand coalition with the center-right — is too.
A change could scare off centrist voters, who have an alternative in Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats or Germany’s pragmatic Green party. But the grand coalition has wearied leftists, who have an alternative in the Greens and the far-left Die Linke.
Not making a choice has been worst of all. The SPD has fallen below 15 percent support in recent surveys, behind the Christian Democrats and Greens and neck and neck with the far-right Alternative for Germany.
At least the party made a decision on Saturday, when it gave the leadership to two left-wing candidates, Saskia Esken and Norbert Walter-Borjans. They got 53 percent of the votes against 45 percent for Brandenburg politician Klara Geywitz and Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, who are of the centrist wing of the party.
Esken and Walter-Borjans have not argued for leaving the government outright, but they do want to renegotiate the 2018 coalition agreement, which is not a realistic prospect. The pact took months to complete. The Christian Democrats have warned they will not accept renegotiations.
The outcome could be an early election, but neither Esken nor Walter-Borjans is well-known outside the SPD.
Then again, the presumptive Christian Democratic candidate, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer — who succeeded Merkel as party leader, but not chancellor, in 2018 — isn’t popular either.
Germany’s most popular politician after Merkel? Scholz. The one who lost the SPD leadership on Saturday.