Analysis

Possible British Europe Exit Divides Country, Europe

France wouldn’t mind if the British left the European Union. The Germans are anxious.

The political talk in the United Kingdom for many months now has had the specter of British relations with Europe haunting it.

It has either been the topic of argument and debate or just been watching quietly and waiting to pounce.

This week, a significant step in the debate was taken. A private member’s bill tabled by Douglas Carswell, the Conservative lawmaker for Clacton, Essex, would, if passed, have repealed the 1972 act that made Britain a member of the European Economic Community.

Add this to the fact that last year, 81 members of Parliament rebelled against party policy to vote in favor of a referendum on European Union membership; the fact that the United Kingdom Independence Party is polling 1 percent higher than the Liberal Democrats; the fact that on the e-petitions website, when searching “EU referendum leave” as keywords, it brings up thousands of petitions; and William Hague’s ominous warning in Berlin last week that Britons’ disillusionment with the European Union is “the deepest it has ever been” and one can see that maybe the comments about British attitudes to Europe hardening are right.

Renegotiation

In contrast to this, there are those who favor staying in the European Union on renegotiated terms.

For Britain to remain a member, the bloc would then have to adapt and that means making it possible for countries to pick and choose areas in which they want to cooperate and where they want to retain control.

Europe divided

Continental opinion about a British exit is divided.

The French may welcome the prospect, as it would enable them to restore parity with Germany. As Charles Noone argues in an article that was promoted on Bloggingportal.eu, “By withdrawing from the institutions of the European Union, the United Kingdom would offer the EU an opportunity to launch a real process of federalization.”

The Germans recognize that a British exit would be detrimental to their interests for that same reason. Michael Stürmer writes in Die Welt, “It is in the German interest to keep Great Britain in the European Union at all costs.”

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