Tag: Russia and the West

Russia and the West have had a love-hate relationship for centuries. These are the stories of what some are already calling the Second Cold War.

  • Russian Spy Poisoning, Explained

    British parliament London
    Westminster Palace in London, England (Unsplash/Matt Milton)

    Former Russian double agent Sergei Skripal and his daughter, Yulia, were poisoned with a nerve agent in the United Kingdom two weeks ago. The British government blames Russia for the attack.

    Here is everything you need to know about the attack and its consequences. (more…)

  • Italian Parties Putin-Friendly, But Policy Shift Unlikely

    Italy’s election can’t keep Vladimir Putin up at night. No matter which party comes out on top, the Russian leader can expect a friendly government in Rome.

    • The center-left Democrats may be the least Russophile of the four major parties, but they still have a soft spot for Russia. Their leader, Matteo Renzi, threatened to block the renewal of EU sanctions in 2015. Federica Mogherini, the EU foreign-policy coordinator, has been criticized by Eastern Europeans and NGOs for not taking a hard enough line against Russia.
    • Silvio Berlusconi, the former prime minister and leader of Forza Italia, is on famously good terms with Putin.
    • His allies in the Northern League — who, in turn, ally with Marine Le Pen’s National Front in France — are openly sympathetic of Putin, whom they see as a defender of traditional, Christian values.
    • The populist Five Star Movement no longer wants to take Italy out of NATO but still calls for a reduced role in the alliance as well as an immediate end to sanctions. (more…)
  • This New Cold War Is Ideological Too

    Moscow Russia
    Moscow, Russia in the early morning (Unsplash/Jean Colet)

    Because Russia promotes an agenda that is native to Europe, few seem to realize this Second Cold War is just as ideological as the first.

    If anything, the fact that Vladimir Putin’s propaganda machine can tap into a homegrown Western reactionary movement that shares its beliefs makes the ideological challenge he poses more insidious. (more…)

  • China and Russia: True Love or Marriage of Convenience?

    Vladimir Putin Xi Jinping
    Presidents Vladimir Putin of Russia and Xi Jinping of China meet in Benaulim, India, October 15, 2016 (Kremlin)

    China and Russia are making common cause at a time when Donald Trump’s America is turning its back on the world. Are we seeing the beginning of a global partnership? Or is this only a marriage of convenience? Experts disagree. (more…)

  • Russians Were All Over Trump’s Campaign

    Back in March, I wondered if anybody in Donald Trump’s inner circle wasn’t in touch with Russians during the 2016 presidential campaign.

    The answer, we know now, is no. The Russians were all over Trump’s team.

    Whether this was collusion or a case of collective and massive misjudgment is something Robert Mueller, the special counsel, must find out, but clearly the Russians were trying to influence the outcome of the election.

    The fact that none of Trump’s underlings disclosed their Russian contacts, and when first asked about them lied, suggests they knew they were doing something wrong. (more…)

  • Trump Cedes Initiative to China and Russia

    • Edward Luce argues in the Financial Times that Donald Trump is allowing China to take the lead in artificial intelligence and robotics. Whereas Trump is sabotaging his own country’s edge by proposing to cut investment spending, reduce visas for high-skilled migrants and pulling out of the Trans Pacific Partnership, China is spending generously, drawing in foreign talent and developing its “One Belt and One Road” trade initiative.
    • Michael Crowley reports for Politico that Trump is ceding postwar planning in Syria to Vladimir Putin, allowing not only Russia but Iran to maintain a foothold in the Eastern Mediterranean. The effect: Egypt and Turkey, once bulwarks of American influence in the Middle East, are eying an entente with Moscow.
  • Don’t Exaggerate Russian Meddling in the Catalan Independence Crisis

    Plaça de Catalunya Barcelona Spain
    Night falls on Plaça de Catalunya in Barcelona, Spain, September 11 (Sergio Marchi)

    Spanish media exaggerate Russia’s role in the Catalan independence crisis.

    Russian state media, like RT and Sputnik, and Russia-friendly trolls, like WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange, have predictably sought to exploit the crisis in a major European Union and NATO country, for three reasons:

    1. To encouraging Catalan separatism.
    2. To provoking an overreaction from the Spanish right.
    3. To legitimizing the self-determination referendum it organized in the Crimea in 2014.

    But there is little evidence Russian propaganda has changed anyone’s mind. (more…)

  • Trump Accepts Putin’s Denials of Election Interference

    America’s spy agencies are unanimous in their assessment that Russia tried to sabotage the 2016 election. Yet Donald Trump puts more faith in the word of Vladimir Putin.

    “Every time he sees me, he says, ‘I didn’t do that’,” Trump told reporters after meeting with the Russian president on the sidelines of a summit in Vietnam, “and I really believe that, when he tells me that, he means it.”

    Asked if he accepts Putin’s denials, Trump said, “I can’t stand there and argue with him,” adding he would rather discuss international issues, such as the war in Syria or the nuclear crisis in Korea.

    “If we had a relationship with Russia, that would be a good thing,” he argued.

  • So Much for Yet Another Russian Reset

    Saint Basil's Cathedral Moscow Russia
    Saint Basil’s Cathedral in Moscow, Russia at night (Unsplash/Ivan Lapyrin)

    From Reuters:

    US president Donald Trump grudgingly signed into law on Wednesday new sanctions against Russia that Congress had approved overwhelmingly last week, criticizing the legislation as having “clearly unconstitutional” elements.

    Ever since the United States entered the stage as a world power, it’s brushed up against Russia. From the 1918-20 international intervention that halfheartedly tried to prevent the rise of Soviet communism to this latest American sanctions bill, the US has long hoped to turn Russia into yet another reliable ally, joined together in a liberal order of peace and prosperity.

    That geopolitical naivety is deeply embedded in the American body politic: candidate after candidate has hoped to defang the Russian bear with arms outreached, only to discover that Moscow sees not friendship but subjugation.

    It is a relationship between an idealistic, extremely safe nation state and a cynical, deeply insecure one. One finds every betrayal or turnabout shocking; the other sees them as a natural course of events. (more…)

  • Putin Has Already Got Most of What He Wanted from Trump

    Collusion or not, Vladimir Putin has already got most of what he wanted from Donald Trump.

    As Rachel Maddow reported on MSNBC last night:

    • Russia wants the West divided, not united.
    • It wants to be recognized as an equal partner to the United States in the war in Syria.
    • It wants to keep Bashar Assad in power.
    • It seeks to defang American diplomacy.
    • And it wants back the “diplomatic” (spy) compounds in Maryland and Upstate New York the Obama Administration seized in retaliation for Russia’s attack on the 2016 election.

    Trump has given Putin all this. (more…)

  • Mixed Success for Trump at G20

    Donald Trump Angela Merkel
    American president Donald Trump speaks with German chancellor Angela Merkel at the G20 summit in Hamburg, July 6 (Bundesregierung)

    The G20 summit in Hamburg, Germany has been a mixed success for American president Donald Trump. (more…)

  • A New Cold War? Yes And No

    Shirley Bassey reminds us that we all come full circle sometimes:

    The word is about, there’s something evolving
    Whatever may come, the world keeps revolving
    They say the next big thing is here
    That the revolution’s near
    But to me it seems quite clear
    That it’s all just a little bit of history repeating

    Tension between the United States and North Korea, Russian involvement in Western elections, talk of a nuclear arms race and the use of phrases like “disinformation” — the present day has an aura of déjà vu. Like we’ve seen it before and we’ll see it again, to paraphrase Ms Bassey.

    Many are referring to our time as another Cold War. As an historian, I can’t help but wonder if this is an appropriate comparison? (more…)

  • What’s the Point in Talking to Putin?

    Vladimir Putin
    Russian president Vladimir Putin listens during a meeting in Voronezh, August 5, 2014 (Kremlin)

    If Donald Trump is hoping a good talk with Vladimir Putin in Hamburg, Germany on Friday will sort out East-West relations, he is probably mistaken.

    David Kramer, who served in the George W. Bush Administration, argues in The American Interest that dialogue means little if your partner is unreliable. (more…)

  • Why America and Russia Are Closer to Confrontation in Syria

    American F-35 fighter jets
    Four American F-35 Joint Strike Fighter fly over the amphibious assault ship USS America in the Pacific Ocean, November 20, 2016 (USN/Andy Wolfe)

    Russia has suspended a military hotline it maintained with the United States to avoid clashes in Syria and warned that it may shoot down any “flying objects” west of the River Euphrates.

    The escalation comes after an American fighter jet shot down a Syrian warplane on Sunday that was attacking rebel ground forces supported by the United States in the vicinity of the Tabqa Dam.

    The Western-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a secular and largely Kurdish opposition group, has wrestled control of the dam and the nearby town of Tabqa from the self-proclaimed Islamic State after a months-long battle. American special forces were reportedly involved in one assault in January.

    It is unclear why the Syrians targeted the SDF. Bashar Assad’s regime has largely ignored rebels east of the Euphrates since the start of the uprising against him six years ago. (more…)

  • Trump’s Team Was Desperate for Back Channel with Moscow

    The Washington Post reports that Jared Kushner, Donald Trump’s son-in-law and one of the president’s top advisors, proposed setting up a secret back channel with the Kremlin in December during a meeting that was also attended by General Michael Flynn.

    According to The Post, Sergei Kislyak, the Russian ambassador, reported to Moscow in a cable that was intercepted by American spies that Kushner had suggested to him using Russian diplomatic facilities in the United States for the back channel.

    Kislyak reportedly was taken aback by the suggestion of allowing an American to use Russian communications gear at its embassy or consulate — a proposal that would have carried security risks for Moscow as well as the Trump team.

    You think? (more…)