Tag: Portugal

  • Portuguese Far Left Throws Away Leverage

    António Costa Pedro Sánchez
    Prime Minister António Costa of Portugal greets his Spanish counterpart, Pedro Sánchez, in Lisbon, July 2, 2018 (Governo da República Portuguesa/Clara Azevedo)

    Portugal’s far left put purity before power and lost power.

    Until 2015, neither the Communists nor Left Bloc had ever been in government. That year, the Socialists fell short of a majority and António Costa made a deal with the smaller parties. In return for policies like free textbooks in schools and a higher minimum wage, the far left would vote to make Costa prime minister. They were involved in annual budget negotiations, but they didn’t join his cabinet.

    The right dubbed it a “contraption,” but it worked. Costa could avoid the stigma of forming a coalition with extremists. The Communists and Left Bloc could still criticize Costa when, for example, he refused to raise salaries in the public sector or overturn the labor market reforms of his conservative predecessor.

    Until the left decided they wanted more. When Costa insisted on reducing Portugal’s budget deficit, from 5.8 percent of GDP in 2020 to a projected 4.4 percent in 2021, the Communists and Left Bloc withdrew their support. (more…)

  • Costa Loses Support of Portugal’s Far Left

    António Costa
    Portuguese prime minister António Costa arrives in Brussels for a European Council meeting, October 16, 2020 (European Council)

    After six years, António Costa’s “contraption” has run out of steam.

    It is what Portugal’s right-wing opposition dubbed the social democrat’s confidence-and-supply arrangements with the far left. In return for concessions like raising the minimum wage and making schoolbooks free, the Communists and Left Bloc were willing to keep Costa in power.

    Costa’s Socialists are eight seats short of a majority in parliament. The Communists and Left Bloc have 29 seats between them.

    By not forming a full coalition, Costa could avoid the stigma of governing with extremists while the Communists and Left Bloc could openly criticize him for not raising salaries in the public sector or overturning the labor market reforms of his center-right predecessor.

    That mutual understanding has collapsed. (more…)

  • Portugal’s Costa Cruising to Victory on Back of Strong Economy

    António Costa
    Portuguese prime minister António Costa arrives in Salzburg, Austria for a meeting with other European socialist party leaders, September 19, 2018 (PES)

    Portugal’s António Costa is almost certain to win reelection on Sunday. Polls give his Socialist Party in the range of 37 percent support against 26-28 percent for the center-right Social Democrats.

    Costa won’t have enough for an absolute majority, but he is expected to continue to govern with the support of the far left. (more…)

  • Social Democrats in Iberia and Scandinavia Try Opposite Strategies

    António Costa Pedro Sánchez
    Prime Minister António Costa of Portugal greets his Spanish counterpart, Pedro Sánchez, in Lisbon, July 2 (Governo da República Portuguesa/Clara Azevedo)

    What is the future of European social democracy? Your answer may depend on where you live.

    If you’re in the Mediterranean, it’s cooperation with the far left. Social democrats in Portugal and Spain have come to power under deals with far-left parties. In both cases, unwieldy coalitions were greeted with skepticism, but now Prime Ministers António Costa and Pedro Sánchez are riding high in the polls.

    In Greece, Alexis Tsipras’ Syriza party has even supplanted the center-left altogether.

    In Scandinavia, by contrast, social democrats are trying to win back working-class voters by taking a harder line on borders, crime and defense.

    Both strategies appear to be working. (more…)

  • New York Times Leaves Out Nuances in Portugal Story

    António Costa
    Prime Minister António Costa of Portugal attends a meeting with other European socialist leaders in Brussels, June 28, 2016 (PES)

    A puff piece about Portugal’s left-wing government in The New York Times leaves out an important part of the story: the right-wing government which preceded it.

    It were the liberals and conservatives who implemented the austerity measures that paved the way for the country’s economic revival.

    The New York Times talks about a “humiliating” bailout that supposedly “deepened” Portugal’s misery until, in 2015, it elected the socialist António Costa, who reversed wage and pension cuts, igniting a “virtuous cycle” that put the economy back on a path to growth. (more…)

  • American Right Loses Its Mind, Catalans Escalate Legal Fight

    Mocking a survivor of the Parkland, Florida school shooting for failing to get into several colleges. Calling Robert Mueller the head of a crime family. Comparing the FBI to the Gestapo. Leading with a story about sex-crazed pandas on the day President Donald Trump’s personal lawyer, Michael Cohen, is served a search warrant by the FBI.

    Fox News is losing its mind.

    The reasons are obvious:

    • Republicans are expected to lose badly in November’s midterm elections.
    • Robert Mueller is closing in on the president, with a report on his attempts to obstruct justice expected as early as next month.
    • James Comey, whom Trump fired from the FBI when he refused to protect the president from the Russia investigation, has a book out on Tuesday. Politico has its main takeaways.

    It’s easy to dismiss Fox’s antics, but remember: there are millions of Americans who watch — and only watch — this channel, including the president. They don’t know any better. (more…)

  • European Social Democrats Warm to Coalitions with Far Left

    António Costa
    Prime Minister António Costa of Portugal attends a meeting with other European socialist leaders in Brussels, June 28 (PES)

    The formation of an all-left city government in Berlin that includes the once-communist Die Linke follows a pattern: center-left parties across Europe are increasingly willing to team up with their rivals on the far left.

    Germany’s Social Democrats shunned Die Linke for decades. The two parties disagree on EU and industrial policy, NATO membership, relations with Russia and welfare.

    The alliance in Berlin is only the second time in German history the two have shared power. (more…)

  • Between Switzerland and Salazar: Rethinking American Foreign Policy

    If American foreign policy lacks anything, it is imagination. When 2016 presidential contenders speak about the rest of the world, their rhetoric is often superficial and predictable. It seems the country’s strategic thinking is succumbing to a creeping “Russification” — an obsession with neo-imperial greatness and jingoistic patriotism.

    Irrespective of party label, America’s political elites and resident media experts have framed the country’s position in the world as a straightforward choice between strength and weakness: Unless America retains a permanent and dominating presence in every significant region of the world, a dystopian “war of all against all” will reign. Into this inevitable vacuum will leap “bad actors,” such as China, Iran and Russia. The delicate stability that supports the global economy will be upended and the American homeland will be under relentless threat. The assumption is that America’s role in the world is fateful and irreversible rather than a matter of choice or an accident of history — what America’s often globally unaware public thinks of this is beside the point.

    America’s political values, and founding principles have become intertwined by consensus with its supposed role as the guardian of international peace and security. Those who pose the counterfactual, question the assumption of America’s inevitable internationalism or propose an alternative path for the nation’s foreign policy have been diagnosed as malicious, anti-American retrogrades whose weakness would see the country prostrate before vacuous evil forces that must be fought “there” to avoid having to confront them “here at home.”

    In this way, American liberty has been exchanged for the authoritarian tribalism of, among others, Vladimir Putin’s Russia. (more…)

  • Populism Endangers Portugal’s Austerity Reforms

    Portugal’s ruling liberal conservatives have, since they came to power in 2011, strived to balance incompatible pressure groups. Local elections in Portugal have precipitated tensions.

    Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho’s Social Democrats and their conservative coalition partners came to power with a clear mandate: to do what the left could not and implement the painful but necessary economic and fiscal reforms prescribed by Portugal’s international creditors. The parties have carried out the task with some difficulty but for the most part the conditions set out by other European countries and the International Monetary Fund were met. Hikes in taxes, frozen salaries and incentives for civil servants to retire early have all slowed spending and eased the market pressure on Portuguese government bonds.

    International demands for credible commitments to austerity, however, conflict with another influence that equally shapes the Portuguese government’s composition and policies: a populist party machine that propelled Passos Coelho into the leadership of his party and then of the government.

    These influences are at odds as campaigning for the local elections that are due later this month is making clear. (more…)

  • Portuguese Foreign Minister Conducts Economic Diplomacy

    After taking power in June of last year, Portugal’s center-right coalition government announced that the country would adopt “a new national strategic priority: a very strong economic diplomacy.” Since then, Portugal’s foreign minister, Paulo Portas, has made it abundantly clear that the “economic diplomacy is the first institutional priority of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.”

    The primacy given to economic diplomacy is also perceived as “a countercyclical policy, which gives resistance to the Portuguese economy.” The top four exporting markets of the last ten years — Spain, Germany, France and the United Kingdom — are all European countries, and they are the destiny of more than 50 percent of the Portuguese exports — and the overall exports to the European Union account for 70 to 75 percent. (more…)

  • Portugal’s Despondency Likely to Endure

    Portuguese politics can be called “traditional”, but the term is used pejoratively.

    As is the case in many Mediterranean countries, Portugal’s lack of a political culture and strong civil society have driven it to mismanage the political freedoms it acquired during the 1970s when the authoritarian government was replaced by a democratic one.

    Similarly, it failed to properly manage the financial backing it gained by joining the European single currency in the early 2000s. (more…)