Tag: French Elections 2017

Presidential and parliamentary elections were held in France between April and June 2017. François Hollande, the Socialist incumbent, did not seek reelection. The Atlantic Sentinel endorsed the liberal Emmanuel Macron, who defeated the far-right Marine Le Pen with 66 against 34 percent support. His party won a majority of 350 out of 577 seats in the National Assembly.

  • Programs of the French Presidential Candidates, Compared

    Marine Le Pen
    French party leader Marine Le Pen makes her way to a news conference in Strasbourg, May 11, 2016 (European Parliament/Fred Marvaux)

    Polls suggest five candidates could qualify for the decisive second voting round of the French presidential election.

    They range from the far left to the far right, but a look at their policies suggests that these categories may have outlived their usefulness.

    Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Marine Le Pen are supposed to be on opposite ends of the political spectrum, yet they make common cause against the European Union and NATO.

    The center-right candidate, François Fillon, shares their friendly attitudes toward Russia. But Fillon sides with the left-wing Benoît Hamon and the center-left Emmanuel Macron in arguing for a more political eurozone.

    Le Pen’s economic policies have more in common with the left than the mainstream right. Fillon and Macron, on the other hand, share proposals for labor reform — but they have different social views. The Republican is a Catholic and social conservative who agrees with Le Pen that the French must protect their identity. The independent Macron is socially liberal and pro-immigration.

    All candidates want cleaner energy, but where Fillon, Macron and Le Pen see nuclear as part of the solution, Hamon and Mélenchon want to phase it out alongside fossil fuels.

    Here is an overview of the signature policies of all five candidates. (more…)

  • Neither Macron Nor Le Pen May Win Legislative Majority

    French parliament Paris
    Night falls on the Bourbon Palace, seat of the French National Assembly, in Paris, June 8, 2007 (J.R. Rosenberg)

    Neither of the two frontrunners in the French presidential election is likely to win a majority in the National Assembly, which would make it hard for them to govern.

    The centrist Emmanuel Macron and the far-right Marine Le Pen are neck and neck in the polls for the first voting round this month. Macron is expected to prevail in the second round.

    A former economy minister under François Hollande, Macron left the Socialist Party last year to start his own movement.

    Le Pen leads the anti-EU and anti-immigrant National Front, which currently has just two out 577 seats in the French parliament. (more…)

  • Certain to Lose Power, France’s Socialists Argue Among Themselves

    Former prime minister Manuel Valls’ endorsement of Emmanuel Macron has widened a split in France’s ruling Socialist Party.

    Benoît Hamon, the left’s presidential candidate, has taken Valls to task for going back on his word.

    During the Socialist primary, Valls vowed to support his party’s nominee. Now that he has lost the contest, he wants leftwingers to support Macron instead in order to stop Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Front. (more…)

  • Macron Wins Support of Former French Prime Minister Valls

    Former French prime minister Manuel Valls has thrown his support behind the presidential candidacy of Emmanuel Macron, his former economy minister.

    “I don’t think we should take any risk for the republic and so I will vote for Emmanuel Macron,” the Spanish-born social democrat said.

    Valls sought the presidential nomination of his own Socialist Party but was defeated in January by the far-left Benoît Hamon. His center-left policies are closer to Macron’s, who served together with Valls in François Hollande’s government for two years. The two men cut taxes for employers and loosened labor laws. (more…)

  • The Forces Shaping the French Election: Populism, Pride and Prejudice

    Paris France
    View of Paris, France from Montmartre, October 2, 2016 (Unsplash/Colin Maynard)

    And why is it so critical? Nothing less than the European Union is at stake — and with it, the geopolitical contract that has bound Germany and France together since World War II.

    After the defeat of anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders early this month in the Netherlands, it is reasonable to ask if populism as shaped by the alt-right has hit its limit. Europeans have watched the confusion in Britain over Brexit and the rise of Donald Trump. Now they are revisiting both their Euroskepticism and their willingness to gamble on ideologies not yet fully tested.

    Yet France is subject to powerful forces quite different than the Netherlands, which has only a fraction of its population and international obligations. A large, unassimilated Muslim and African population simmers; an aging, conservative voter base roils; a discredited, weakened left wavers; and nobody knows what to do with the neoliberal threads that hold together the European Union yet impoverish just about anyone not in the upper classes.

    All these factors make France a combustible mix of alt-right populism, weakened mainstream parties, terror cells, angry youth and dithering establishment elites. If we were shocked by Brexit, we should be less shocked by whatever happens next month as the French go to vote. France is as upended as everyone else. 2017 compares to the turmoil of the collapse of the Fourth Republic in 1958. (more…)

  • Hamon, Macron Face Putin Apologists in French Debate

    François Fillon
    Former French prime minister François Fillon meets with other European conservative party leaders in Brussels, March 1, 2012 (EPP)

    Benoît Hamon and Emmanuel Macron don’t have a lot in common. The former wants to raise taxes in France in order to finance a universal basic income. The latter wants to cut taxes and reduce public spending.

    Yet the two presidential candidates made common cause on Monday, when they faced three Putin apologists in the first televised debate of the 2017 campaign. (more…)

  • Fillon Disqualifies Himself by Smearing Investigators

    François Fillon
    Former French prime minister François Fillon meets with other European conservative party leaders in Brussels, March 1, 2012 (EPP)

    French presidential candidate François Fillon has gone down the same road as Brexiteers in the United Kingdom and Donald Trump in the United States by disparaging the institutions that stand in his way and appealing directly to “the people”.

    Fillon, the center-right Republican candidate for the presidential elections in April and May, has dismissed charges that he paid his wife hundreds of thousands of euros over the years for a fictitious job as a “political assassination”.

    He alleges that the rule of law “has been systematically violated” in France and that “the notion of innocent until proven guilty has completely disappeared.”

    Fillon held a rally in Paris this weekend, where he maintained that “the people”, not the justice system, would decide the outcome of the election. (more…)

  • Fillon Refuses to Drop Out, Hurting the Right’s Chances in France

    François Fillon
    Former French prime minister François Fillon meets with other European conservative party leaders in Brussels, March 1, 2012 (EPP)

    François Fillon has gone back on his word and said he will remain a candidate for the French presidency, despite an investigation being opened into accusations that he paid his wife hundreds of thousands of euros over the years for a fictitious job.

    Fillon, the center-right Republican candidate, had earlier vowed to pull out of the contest if such an investigation was launched.

    Now he maintains it is up to the French people.

    “Only universal suffrage, and not an investigation, can decide who will be the next president of the republic,” he told reporters in Paris.

    Fillon also repeated his allegation that the probe is politically motivated. “It is an assassination,” he said. (more…)

  • France Must Reform in Order to Prove Itself: Macron

    French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron has said France must prove itself to Germany in order to breathe new life into the partnership that has been at the heart of the European project for decades.

    French politicians have long wished for a restoration of parity between Europe’s two largest economies.

    Macron told the financial newspaper Les Echos that his country cannot expect Germany to take French proposals seriously unless its finds the courage to do structural reforms:

    The usual gesture in French presidential campaigns is to say, “I will turn over the tables and reorient the Franco-German relationship.” That doesn’t make sense and it never works.

    The former investment banker and economy minister, who is one of the favorites to succeed François Hollande as president in May, reiterated a French proposal to create a European economy and finance minister to oversee hundreds of billions of euros in investments across the eurozone.

    Germany has resisted this, fearing that spendthrift Mediterraneans will use an investment fund as a way to circumvent deficit rules and forego liberalizations. (more…)

  • Bayrou Throws Support Behind Fellow Centrist in France

    The good news just keeps coming for Emmanuel Macron.

    Perennial French presidential candidate François Bayrou endorsed his fellow centrist on Wednesday and announced he would not run this year.

    Bayrou, a self-described third-way centrist, was a candidate in 2002, 2007 and 2012. Each time, he failed to qualify for the second-round runoff.

    For the elections in April and May, Bayrou had been polling at 5-6 percent support. If all his voters switch to Macron, the former economy minister would easily best the right-wing candidate, François Fillon, and qualify for the crucial second voting round against the National Front’s Marine Le Pen. (more…)

  • Fillon and Macron Better Watch Out: French Left Considers Pact

    Polls put François Fillon and Emmanuel Macron neck and neck to qualify for the second voting round of the French presidential election in May. Whoever gets the most support in the first round would face off with the far right’s Marine Le Pen in the second.

    That could change if the candidates on the left managed to set aside their differences and unite around one man. (more…)

  • Clinton-Trump Redux in France

    After Britain voted to exit the European Union and America elected Donald Trump, the French ambassador to Washington DC, Gerard Araud, tweeted in despair: “A world is collapsing before our eyes.”

    Now his home country has a chance to breathe new life into the liberal world order the English-speaking powers have turned their backs on.

    After decades of statism, and five years of ineffectual Socialist Party rule, there is finally a critical mass for reform in France.

    Brexit has also revived French enthusiasm for the European project. French support for the EU has shot up 10 points to 67 percent, according to an Ifop poll.

    And Trump’s crude nationalism is showing the French the ugly reality of hysterical patriotism and anti-Muslim bigotry, both of which have been creeping up on them in recent years.

    These three threads come together in the presidential candidacy of Emmanuel Macron. (more…)

  • Stars Align in Emmanuel Macron’s Favor in France

    Emmanuel Macron
    Former French economy minister Emmanuel Macron changes his tie on a train, December 31, 2016 (En Marche!)

    Emmanuel Macron’s chances of winning the French presidency have never looked so good.

    Recent surveys have him neck and neck with the conservative candidate, François Fillon. In some, he is even beating Fillon into third place, which would give Macron a spot in the second-round runoff against Marine Le Pen.

    What’s changed from a few weeks ago, when Macron was in third place, is that the Socialists have nominated a far-leftist, Benoît Hamon, for the presidency and Fillon has been caught up in an expenses scandal. (more…)

  • Hamon’s Victory Could Help Macron in French Presidential Election

    By picking Benoît Hamon, a relatively inexperienced far-leftist, over the reformer Manuel Valls on Sunday to lead the French Socialist Party into the elections in April and May, the left may have thrown away what little chance it had of retaining the presidency.

    Emmanuel Macron must be smiling. The defeat of his former boss could have hardly come at a better moment for the former economy minister, who is running for president independently.

    Earlier this week, it emerged that his Republican opponent, François Fillon, had paid his wife around €500,000 from parliamentary funds over a period of eight years for an assistant’s job when it is unclear she did the work. (more…)

  • French Socialists Nominate Far-Left Hamon for Presidency

    • French Socialists nominated Benoît Hamon, a former education minister, as their presidential candidate on Sunday.
    • Hamon got 58 percent support in a second voting round against 41 percent for his opponent, the former prime minister Manuel Valls.
    • Hamon is to the left of the party. His policies include the legalization of marijuana and the introduction of a universal basic income. (more…)