Why Ontario Plays Such a Central Role in Canadian Politics
The province is not only Canada’s most populous; it has an ability to swing elections between Quebec and the west.
Geopolitics
The Future of the Middle East is Turkey, Iran and Islamic Socialism
Turkey and Iran are the region’s natural hegemons. Islam and socialism provide the necessary social glue.
Syria’s Endgame
Syria could become a patchwork of Russian, Turkish and American-backed enclaves.
Balkans Could Fall Victim to Putin-Trump Deal
The fear is that Donald Trump will trade Kosovo for Russian cooperation in the Middle East.
Nativist Freedom Party Draws Support from Dutch Periphery
The Netherlands’ outer provinces aren’t destitute, but they do feel left behind.
Moldova’s President of Smoke and Mirrors
Igor Dodon pretends to be at odds with Moldova’s pro-European leaders, but they are allies when it matters.
Don’t Look Now, But West Africa Just Took a Huge Leap Forward
Nigeria couldn’t allow Yahya Jammeh to cling to power in the Gambia and used ECOWAS to push him out.
Trump’s No Good, Very Bad, Absolutely Stupid Comments on the EU and NATO
Encouraging the continent that produced two world wars to fashion swords from plowshares is a terrible idea.
The Russo-Trump Alliance
An accord with Moscow could end liberal democracy in Eastern Europe as well as America’s values-based foreign policy.
2016 in Geopolitical Review
2016 was a good year for authoritarians and delivered blow after blow to liberal democracy.
Andrei G. Karlov Is Not Franz Ferdinand
Geopolitics shape events, not the other way around. The assassination does not upset Russo-Turkish relations.
Joining Assad and Russia Against Islamic State Is Foolish
Donald Trump’s pact doesn’t make sense. Neither Assad nor Russia is interested in defeating the Islamists.
Why Taiwan Could (Still) Start World War III
If Donald Trump pushes China too far, its leaders may feel they have no choice but to respond.
Overlooked Regional Divisions Helped Trump Defeat Clinton
Two divides — between North and South and between California and Texas — deserve more attention.
The Geopolitics of President-Elect Donald Trump
Donald Trump can undermine America’s influence, but he cannot repeal the things that make it a superpower.