- Spain claims control of Catalonia’s public finances and police force in an effort to stop the independence referendum planned for October 1.
- Regional president Carles Puigdemont says Spain has “crossed a red line.”
- Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy has urged Catalans to step back from the brink but also vowed to do “whatever is necessary” to prevent them from voting.
More protests, more Spanish repression
Protests continue in Barcelona coinciding with celebrations of La Mercè, an annual Catholic holiday and folk festival.
Students are still occupying the University of Barcelona, although crowds outside the building are now small enough to allow traffic along the Gran Via again, one of the city’s central thoroughfares.
Meanwhile, Spanish attempts to suppress the vote continue.
More policemen- and women arrive in Barcelona from other parts of Spain every day.
The Spanish prosecutor has ordered the Catalan police, the Mossos d’Esquadra, to identify and question polling agents. It is unclear if they will comply. The head of the Mossos, Josep Lluís Trapero, did not attend a meeting with his Spanish counterparts in Barcelona on Monday, sending a deputy instead.
Trapero is resisting Spanish attempts to put his troopers under the command of the Interior Ministry in Madrid.
Also on Monday, the website of the Catalan National Assembly, one of the two big civil-society groups advocating independence, was taken offline. They have put up a new version at assemblea.eu.
Spanish left sympathizes with Catalans, but few signs of support
Spanish support for Catalan self-determination is found mostly on the left, The Guardian newspaper reports:
Many left-wing Spaniards are frustrated at seeing the standoff over the October vote painted as a simple showdown between democrats and authoritarians and point out that the men at the heart of the current standoff both lead right-wing parties.
The far-left Podemos, Spain’s third largest party, has criticized the central government for its handling of the situation. The leader of the mainstream Socialists, the second largest party, also distanced himself from Rajoy this weekend without granting a Catalan right to break away.
But The Guardian reports that visible signs of support for the Catalans are few and far between:
There are no Catalan flags, no posters for or against the referendum, no appeals to Catalans from their fellow citizens. There is certainly nothing like the unofficial “Let’s Stay Together” campaign launched ahead of Scotland’s independence referendum in 2014.
Catalan crisis a “colossal failure” of Spanish democracy
The European Council on Foreign Relations’ Francisco de Borja Lasheras writes that the present crisis represents a colossal failure of Spanish democracy:
Our leaders have proved unable to craft a way out of the current impasse, unlike at other critical periods of the country’s constitutional history where statesmanship was present.
Having grown up in the Basque Country, Lasheras sees unsettling similarities in today’s hate speech, stigmatization of dissent and the shaping of two polarized political blocs.
During the economic crisis, “Spain” provided a convenient scapegoat for the ruling Catalan nationalists, he argues.
Anyone who stands in the way of independence, including judges and police officers following the law, are branded “enemies of the people” by separatist fanatics.
The crisis has divided the country into two. On one side are the proponents of “popular democracy” (Catalan separatists, Podemos and others on the far left), who emphasize street politics and “the will of the people”. On the other are the defenders of the rule of law (the mainstream Spanish parties, Ciudadanos and Catalans who favor a legal referendum), who stress constitutional order and institutions.
Catalan police chief resists being placed under Spanish command
The head of the Mossos d’Esquadra, Josep Lluís Trapero, has said that while his troopers will continue to work with Spanish prosecutors, they do not take orders from the Interior Ministry in Madrid.
Spain argues that a consolidation of the various police agencies operating in Catalonia under a single command is necessary to preserve public order.
The Catalan police union and regional government disagree.
Putting the Mossos under Spanish command is a bad idea
Unlike the Guardia Civil (gendarmerie), who have raided printing presses, Internet companies and government offices to seize ballot papers, shut down referendum websites and arrest civil servants, the Mossos are seen as “one of us” here.
When protesters blocked the entrance to the Catalan Finance Ministry earlier this week, it were the Mossos who convinced the crowd to disperse after midnight to allow the Guardia to exit the building.
Suspending the troopers’ autonomy and putting them under Spanish command dilutes their trustworthiness in the eyes of separatist hardliners. That could make it harder for them to keep a lid on passions at demonstrations between now and October 1.
Click here to read more.
Sánchez distances himself from Rajoy
Pedro Sánchez, the Spanish Socialist Party leader, has distanced himself from the hard line of Mariano Rajoy, saying, “Puigdemont [the Catalan president] wants to vote without dialogue, Rajoy wants dialogue without a vote.”
Sánchez remains adamant that the planned independence vote on October 1 is illegal. But he also sees the need for talks:
What is the point of a government that delegates all its responsibilities to the courts?
Sánchez has previously raised the possibility of constitutional reform.
Spain takes command of Catalan police
Spain has taken command of the Catalan police force, the Mossos d’Esquadra, after criticizing it for not doing enough to disrupt preparations for the October 1 referendum.
The decision was sharply criticized in Catalonia and is bound to aggravate tensions.
Catalan interior minister Joaquim Forn called the step “unacceptable” and said it “bypasses all the institutions that the current legal framework already has in place to guarantee the security of Catalonia.”
All three police forces in Catalonia — the Guardia Civil, the Mossos and the National Police — are now controlled from the Ministry of the Interior in Madrid.
Spain claims the consolidation was necessary to “prevent crime and keep public order”.
Police units have been arriving in Catalonia from elsewhere in Spain to help suppress the independence vote.
Rajoy has shown disturbing indifference: Guardian
Britain’s The Guardian newspaper argues Spain has badly mishandled a deliberately provocative referendum:
Rajoy’s legalistic approach rests on clear court decisions, but he has shown a disturbing indifference to the demands of a large number of his citizens.
If nothing is done to find a compromise, The Guardian warns that a political train wreck threatens in the EU’s largest southern member state.
.cat domains blocked
Civil Guards raided the offices of the .cat Foundation earlier this week, which manages the register of Catalan domain names, and forced it to block websites with information about the October 1 independence vote.
“It is a disaster,” Eduard Martin Lineros, head of the foundation, told Politico:
We have been forced — for first time in the history of Internet in Spain — to block four .cat domains related to the referendum.
While it is not unusual for companies to be instructed to take specific websites offline, Peter Van Roste, the general manager of the Council of European National Top Level Domain Registries, argues registrars shouldn’t be forced to scan or monitor all domains under their purview:
Suddenly, you’re forced, as a technical operator, to play the part of law enforcement.
Ciudadanos leader calls for end to “madness”
Albert Rivera, the leader of Catalonia’s second largest party, the Ciudadanos, has called on Puigdemont to “stop this madness” and call snap elections:
Catalonia does not deserve confrontations and a breach of social peace.
Civil servants released on charges of disobedience
All fifteen officials who were arrested on Wednesday have by now been released, but they are charged with disobedience, breach of their official duties and misappropriation public funds.
Times calls for referendum to go ahead
The Times of London calls on Mariano Rajoy’s government to allow the Catalan referendum to go ahead, warning that its “strong-arm tactics” are likely to backfire.
Madrid can win this argument without the use of force or disproportionate threat, counting on the common sense of the Catalans who by and large understand the benefits of being an integral part of Spain.
Attitudes in Basque Country mirror those in Catalonia
Attitudes in Spain’s Basque Country have mirrored Catalonia’s surge in separatism.
When the European Court of Human Rights ruled in 2010 that Spain’s Constitutional Court had been correct in declaring a Basque independence referendum illegal, the region accepted it.
But when the same Constitutional Court threw out part of Catalonia’s autonomy statute that same year, it galvanized the separatist movement.
The Catalans are now determined to vote on independence. Opponents fear a domino effect. They worry that, if the Catalans are successful, the Basque Country may push for independence next.
That seems unlikely.
Click here to read more.
Authoritarian instincts rule in Madrid: Puigdemont
Catalan regional president Carles Puigdemont accuses Spain of laying “siege” to his region in an op-ed for The Washington Post. He calls on “democrats around the world” to support the cause of Catalan freedom.
In most parts of the developed world, police protect ballot boxes, polling stations and voters. In Catalonia today, the situation is the opposite.
Puigdemont points out that Spain has taking control of Catalan public finances, shut down pro-independence websites, blocked proxy servers and discouraged the professional news media from reporting on the planned October 1 referendum (Puigdemont exaggerated when he writes the government has “prohibited” reporting).
Four decades after the death of the dictator Francisco Franco, we still find that authoritarian instincts rule at the heart of the Madrid government.
Spaniards reject Catalan right to secession
Politico reports that the Center for Sociological Research found barely 10 percent of Spaniards in favor of allowing Catalonia to break away.
Catalan referendum animates Flemish, leaves Dutch cold
The Dutch aren’t sure what to make of Catalonia’s independence bid. Only in the last few days have their news media started paying attention to what’s happening in the region.
Flemish media are more interested. Maybe because they have pragmatically managed their differences with the French-speaking Walloons for decades and are wondering why the Catalans and Spanish can’t do the same?
Click here to read more.
Spain promises talks on fiscal economy if Catalonia stops referendum
Spanish economy minister Luis de Guindos has told the Financial Times his government is willing to discuss more fiscal autonomy for Catalonia if the region drops its independence bid:
Catalonia already has a great deal of autonomy, but we could talk about a reform of the funding system and other issues.
When Spain’s Constitutional Court overturned part of Catalonia’s autonomy statute in 2010, it took out articles which gave the region control over its own finances. Similar provisions remain in effect for the Basque Country and Navarre.
Polls suggest that a majority of Catalans would be content with more autonomy.
Demonstrations outside High Court
Thousands more Catalans are demonstrating today, this time outside the High Court (which is not a Catalan but a Spanish institution), near Barcelona’s Arc de Triomf. They are protesting yesterday’s arrest of top civil servants.
El País takes hard line
In an editorial that is available in English, the Spanish newspaper obsesses about the illegality of the planned independence vote:
Democratic legality is above politics, opinions and emotions. Promoting or supporting a rebellion against a democratic state in twenty-first-century Europe is an offense against citizen liberties, against their social harmony and against their most inalienable rights.
El País compares the Catalan challenge to the failed 1981 putsch, which seems a little over the top.
It calls on the central government to “act firmly and use all legal means to defend the Constitution, democracy and the rights and freedoms of all Spaniards.”
El Periódico urges political solution
Catalonia’s other newspaper is harder on the regional government and warns that the dynamic unleashed by the standoff with Madrid puts the autonomy of all Catalans at risk:
Speaking for a large majority of Catalans, we call on both governments to stop this escalation and negotiate a political solution that preserves our fraternity and coexistence.
La Vanguardia calls for calm
The Catalan newspaper blames both the separatists for going ahead with only minority support and Rajoy’s right-wing government for making the situation worse:
We believe the People’s Party has become addicted to a dangerous drug: the Catalan tension. The Catalan tension helps it unite its voters and, taken to the extreme, disrupt its principal adversary, the Socialist Party.
Now is not a time to be carried away, La Vanguardia warns. “Now is not a time to leave politics to the emotional demands of the street.”
“You have to take a side!”
Antón Costas, an economics professor at the University of Barcelona, writes in La Vanguardia that it takes more courage to be a moderate in Catalonia nowadays than a radical.
On the one hand there are separatists who consider opposition to independence close to treason. On the other are Spanish nationalists who dismiss the whole concept of Catalan self-rule.
“You have to take a side,” they say. As if defending moderation and resisting intransigent rhetoric isn’t!
Polls suggest most Catalans are still in the middle: in favor of negotiation, in favor of a legal referendum and against independence.
Rajoy calls on Catalans to “avoid greater evil”
Mariano Rajoy, the Spanish prime minister, has urged the Catalan government in a televised speech to stop their preparations for a referendum and “avoid greater evil”.
He said the central government will respond “firmly, but proportionally” to continued attempts to hold an independence vote that has “no legitimacy, no judicial or international support and, importantly, is not supported by the majority of Catalans.”
Spanish raids, arrests cross “red line”: Puigdemont
Spain has “crossed a red line,” Catalan president Carles Puigdemont said after gendarmerie raided offices of his regional government in Barcelona and arrested a dozen civil servants.
“On October 1, we are called to defend democracy from a repressive and intimidating regime,” Puigdemont told Catalans in a televised speech.
He argued that the actions of the Spanish state, which considers a planned independence vote illegal, are “totalitarian” and amount to the suspension of Catalan home rule.
Click here to read more.
Civil Guards confiscate voting cards
The Civil Guards have confiscated voting cards in the city of Terrassa in what the BBC describes as “the most significant election material” seized to date.
Some 200 protesters gathered outside the delivery company where the voting cards were found and tried to prevent a local judiciary official from entering the building. Catalan police intervened to let the official through.
Spain makes good on threat
Spain has made good on its threat to seize control of Catalan finances in order to avoid money being spent on the referendum.
Oriol Junqueras, the Catalan vice president and leader of the Republican Left, maintains that the region can still meet its obligations. He is appealing the central government’s decision to the Supreme Court.
Catalan economy could shrink 30 percent: minister
Spanish economy minister Luis de Guindos has warned that Catalan gross domestic product could shrink 30 percent if the region left Spain.
- Independence would mean ejection from the EU, as a result of which 75 percent of Catalan production would be subject to export tariffs.
- Catalan banks could relocate their headquarters to Spain.
- A Catalan currency would be worth 30 to 50 percent less than the euro.
Separatists counter that Catalonia would be better off in the long term, given its higher GDP per capita, higher startup investment, modern infrastructure and robust tourism industry.
Click here to read all the arguments for and against independence.
Socialist leader calls for constitutional reform
Pedro Sánchez, the leader of Spain’s opposition Socialist Party, has sided with Rajoy in rejecting the Catalan referendum as unlawful.
But unlike the conservative leader, Sánchez did argue for constitutional reform and Catalan self-rule at an event in Barcelona this weekend.
By far most Catalans favor negotiation over unilateral secession. A plurality would support a Spanish federation over Catalan independence or the status quo.
More posters confiscated, more websites down
The Civil Guards have seized 1.4 million referendum-related leaflets and posters this weekend, including at a warehouse in the Barcelona suburb of Sabadell.
Separatists are encouraging Catalans to print their own posters. People are sharing theirs on Twitter using the hashtag empaperem, which means wallpaper.
An online petition for independence by Catalan scholars was taken offline earlier today following a massive series of false registrations. The text is back up, but signatures are still closed.
Partisan divide in German views on referendum
German views on Catalonia’s independence bid break down along partisan lines. Left-wing commentators sympathize with Catalan pleas for self-determination and blame Spain for the impasse. Conservatives focus on the illegality of the planned October 1 vote.
Click here to read more.
Catalan mayors gather in show of force
Some 700 of Catalonia’s 948 mayors have gathered in Barcelona to make clear they will not bow to Spanish pressure.
Catalan president Carles Puigdemont, speaking at the event, said, “Do not underestimate the force of the Catalan people,” alluding to Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy’s warning the other day not to “underestimate the force of Spanish democracy.”
Ada Colau, the mayor of Barcelona, said:
We are here to condemn that more than 700 mayors in our country, just because they are committed to helping Catalonia decide its future, with Catalans being able to vote, just because of this they have been intimidated, they have been summoned by Spain’s attorney general and they have been threatened with arrest.
Most mayors have defied instructions from Madrid not to allow an “illegal” referendum to be held on municipal premises. The mayors of l’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Lleida and Tarragona, three of the region’s larger cities, have said they will obey the Spanish government.
Spain has declared state of emergency by stealth: Puigdemont
Catalan president Carles Puigdemont has accused Rajoy of declaring a state of emergency by stealth:
They don’t seem to be primary concerned about terrorism or security, but about ballot boxes and ballot papers.
He compared the state’s actions — raiding printing presses, shutting down pro-independence websites — to the heavy-handedness of Spain’s first post-Francoist interior minister, Manuel Fraga.
Ominous words from Rajoy
Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy has warned the Catalan government that it is forcing him to do “what we do not want,” words that were interpreted in the region as a threat to suspend Catalan autonomy.
In a speech in Barcelona, the Spanish leader betrayed no willingness to negotiate. Catalan separatists “underestimate the strength of Spanish democracy,” he said.
Civil Guards raid printing presses
Agents of the Guardia Civil (gendarmerie) have raised printing presses in l’Hospitalet and Sant Feliu de Llobregat in search of referendum posters.
La Vanguardia reports that some 150 people are protesting the police action in Sant Feliu.
The Civil Guards earlier searched a printer in Constantí and shut down the official referendum website, referendum.cat.
Catalan leaders appeal to king
Catalan leaders have asked King Felipe VI in a letter to lead an “open dialogue, without conditions” to find a way out of the crisis.
“Spain has gone on the offensive with unprecedented repression,” the Catalan president, vice president, speaker of parliament and mayor of Barcelona write.
The four ask the monarch to help “make possible that which in a democracy is never a problem, much less a crime: listening to the voice of the people.”
On Wednesday, King Felipe waded into the referendum debate, saying the Constitution would prevail.
By far most Catalans still favor negotiation.
Spain gives Catalans ultimatum
Spain has threatened to take over paying for essential public services in Catalonia unless the region gives full transparency of its spending accounts within two days.
The goal, of course, is to prevent the regional government from spending money on the referendum.
Catalan vice president Oriol Junqueras, the leader of the Republican Left, said on Thursday that he would stop sharing weekly finance updates with Madrid, calling them a form of “political control” that “had nothing to do with budgetary stability”.
Businesses tired of uncertainty
Businesses in Catalonia are growing tired of the uncertainty the referendum is creating, Bloomberg reports. A few have already moved to Madrid. Others have made plans to withdraw from Catalonia overnight if it secedes.
Investors remain sanguine, however. The interest charged on Spanish bonds — a proxy for markets’ confidence in the country’s political stability — hasn’t gone up dramatically.
Far left takes Rajoy to task for Catalan “repression”
Pablo Iglesias, the head of Spain’s far-left Podemos movement, has criticized Rajoy for his handling of the Catalan separatist challenge.
In a series of tweets, Iglesias takes Rajoy and his government to task for their “fear of democracy”.
Defending Spain requires providing political solutions to historical problems. Prison and repression will only compound the problems.
Iglesias accuses Rajoy of aggravating support for independence by refusing to negotiate with the Catalans and argues that the only way out of the crisis is to let them vote.
Click here to read more.
Residents of Barcelona will be able to vote: mayor
Ada Colau, the mayor of Barcelona, has announced on Twitter that residents of Catalonia’s largest city will be able to vote in the referendum on October 1:
We are fulfilling our commitment: In Barcelona, you will be able to participate on 1oct without putting our institutions and civil servants at risk.
In a television interview on Wednesday, Carles Puigdemont, the Catalan president, has said the regional government would make locations available for voting in municipalities that worried about the legal threats from Madrid.
The EU’s double standard
Georgi Gotev accuses the EU of a double standard in EurActiv. Officials have been (mildly) encouraging of Scottish secession post Brexit, he writes, but show little love for Catalonia:
Can the EU encourage Scotland to break away and tell the Catalans to forget about it? Of course, it makes no sense, but this is how things are.
Actually, it does make some sense — and Gotev explains why: If Scotland left the United Kingdom around the same time the rest of Britain exited the EU, it could perhaps claim “successor status” and inherit British membership. (Experts disagree and no officials have publicly endorsed this pathway yet.)
No such legal trick is available to Catalonia, which — as European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker reiterated on Wednesday — would need to (re)apply for EU membership if it seceded from Spain, just like any other country.
Mayors charged with disobedience, embezzlement
Prosecutors have filed charges of disobedience and embezzlement against the mayors of Premià de Mar and Vilanova i la Geltrú, two suburbs of Barcelona. Both lead associations of pro-independence mayors.
Prosecutors have also asked the court to order that the websites of these groups be taken down, because they lend an “appearance of legality and normality to the separatist referendum.”
Catalans stop sharing spending updates with Madrid
Catalan authorities have stopped sending weekly finance reports to Madrid, where the central government had conditioned access to credit on such updates.
Catalan vice president Oriol Junqueras, the leader of the Republican Left, argued this “political control” from Madrid “had nothing to do with budgetary stability,” but was rather a means to check the Catalans weren’t spending money on organizing a referendum.
Referendum website taken offline
The official website for the referendum, referendum.cat, has been taken offline. Members of the Guardia Civil showed up today at the company which hosts the site with a court order to shut it down.
The arguments for and against Catalan independence
Most of the arguments for independence are cultural or emotional. Opponents are more likely to point to the concrete economic and security risks of seceding from Spain.
Click here to read more.
Three out of four Catalan municipalities defy Madrid
By far most Catalan municipalities (three out of four) are defying orders from Madrid and cooperating with regional authorities to organize the referendum, but half the Catalan population lives in municipalities that have either yet to clarify their position or said they will listen to Spain, La Vanguardia reports.
The biggest question mark is still Barcelona, home to a fifth of the Catalan population.
Mayor Ada Colau has said she will do “everything possible” to facilitate the democratic process and that she is ignoring “threats” from Madrid. But her administration has also asked the regional government for assurances that civil servants will not be held criminally liable for making the vote happen.
Constitution will prevail: king
King Felipe VI has waded into the Catalan referendum debate, assuring Spaniards that the constitution will prevail over those who have placed themselves outside the legal framework.
“Democratic coexistence” is only possible “if citizens and institutions comply with and fulfill the laws which regulate and organize it,” the monarch warned in an otherwise unrelated speech.
The royal family is less popular in Catalonia than in most other parts of Spain. Left-wing separatists see the king as a symbol of Spanish oppression.
Police ordered to seize ballot boxes
Prosecutors have ordered the three police agencies in Catalonia — the regional Mossos d’Esquadra, the National Police and the Guardia Civil (gendarmerie) — to seize any material that could be used to organize a referendum on October 1, including ballot boxes, ballot papers and voting manuals.
La Vanguardia reports that only the Civil Guards have taken action so far, raiding a printing press in the town of Constantí.
The National Police have said they will comply with the instructions. The Mossos d’Esquadra, the local Catalan police force, haven’t made a public statement yet.
Catalan TV told not to facilitate referendum
TV3, the oldest and largest Catalan-language television station, has received a request from the Constitutional Court, via the Catalan High Court, to abstain from reporting on any “agreements or actions” that could lead to an independence vote on October 1.
No word from TV3 yet if they will comply.
The Val d’Aran: The minority within the minority
The one area of Catalonia where there is remarkably less enthusiasm for independence lies in its northwest: the Val d’Aran, the only comarca north of the Pyrenees.
Its population of less than 10,000 speaks Aranese, a form of Gascon, itself a variety grouped (though not without controversy) under the rubric of Occitan, a Romance language once spoken in the south of France.
Click here to read more.
Most Catalans still favor negotiation
A Metroscopia poll for El País has found that proponents of negotiation edge out supporters of a unilateral referendum by nearly 20 points.
56 percent of Catalans feel the referendum is neither legal nor valid, given the controversial way in which it was enacted.
The problem is that Mariano Rajoy’s government in Madrid has for years been unwilling to negotiate or allow a referendum.
82 percent of Catalans told Metroscopia that Rajoy’s attitude has only reinforced separatist sentiment in the region, which is exactly what I argued here in May.
Size of independence march in dispute
Catalan and Spanish sources can’t even agree on the size of the crowds. Local police say around one million people attended today’s rally for independence. The delegation of the Spanish government in Catalonia maintains only 350.000 showed up.
Given turnout in previous years, I suspect one million is closer to the truth. But that’s still far from a record. The 2014 National Day march for independence attracted some 1.8 million Catalans.
Barcelona mayor says will “ignore threats” from Madrid
The left-wing mayor of Barcelona, Ada Colau, has said she will do everything she can to allow residents to vote in the referendum on October 1. “I will ignore the threats” from Madrid, she said.
However, Colau also took the regional government to task for being in such a “rush” that they have forgotten about the other half of Catalonia.
Barcelona is among the least separatist municipalities in the region. Many of its citizens were born elsewhere in Spain — or the world.
Where is the “silent majority”?
El País wonders why we hear so little from the “silent majority” of Catalans who oppose independence. Some of their answers:
- The separatists can be intimidating. Fanatics regard opposition to independence as close to treason.
- Pro-independence Catalans tend to be better educated and are therefore overrepresented in the region’s cultural elite.
- The anti-independence side is divided. Some do support Catalan self-determination, others want more autonomy, others yet are happy with the status quo.
What makes Catalans support independence
Politico has some interesting figures about pro-independence voters. They reveal that age and employment are a poor predictor of support for separatist parties. Education has some relation to it. Supporters of the separatist Junts pel Sí (Together for Yes) and Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP) are more likely to have a college degree than other voters.
But the factors that matter the most are language, identity and the place of parents’ birth. Catalans who speak Catalan more often than Spanish, who call themselves “only” or “mostly” Catalan and whose parents were born in the region are much more likely to want their own state.
400,000 have registered to attend pro-independence rally
Organizers say some 400,000 Catalans have registered to attend a pro-independence demonstration in Barcelona on Monday, the National Day of Catalonia.
Around 5 o’clock in the afternoon, activists wearing yellow shirts are planning to form a human cross along the Carrer d’Aragó and La Rambla, stretching a dozen city blocks in either direction.
The National Day of Catalonia, which commemorates the fall of Barcelona to Spanish forces in 1714, has become a lightning rod for the independence movement. Since 2012, more than a million Catalans (from a population of 7.5 million) have taken to the streets each year to demand self-determination.
Most mayors defy Madrid, Barcelona’s undecided
674 of Catalonia’s 948 municipalities have so far defied instructions from Madrid not to allow city spaces to be used for the independence vote, according to the Municipal Association for Independence.
Ada Colau, the mayor of Barcelona, is undecided. She has asked the regional government for assurances that officials would be protected from prosecution.
“We support the right to participate and protest completely, but we will repeat what we have said many times before: we will not put at risk institutions or civil servants,” Deputy Mayor Gerardo Pisarello said on Friday.
Don’t force Catalans to choose between independence and the status quo
In a column for the Diplomatic Courier, I point out that support for independence is currently about 40 percent — when Catalans are given only two options. When becoming a federal state inside Spain is added as an alternative, only one in three would still vote to secede and, crucially, half the non-separatists would go with the federal option as well.
Whatever their views on independence, 80 percent of Catalans do want a referendum.
Altogether, these numbers point to a solution: A new autonomy statute that gives the regional government more power, put to Catalan voters in a referendum. That way, secession is taken off the table but the Catalans get to have their say.
Click here to read more.
Separatists have bungled independence process
I still feel Spanish intransigence is ultimately to blame for this crisis. A refusal to hear out Catalan demands, must less recognize their right to self-determination, has radicalized the independence movement.
Spain accuses the Catalans of breaking the law by holding their referendum, but it has refused to allow them one. What were they supposed to do?
That said, the separatists have bungled this process.
They enacted the referendum law with the smallest-possible majority: 72 out of 135 deputies. Those 72 deputies were elected in 2015 by 48 percent of voters. That’s not a strong mandate.
The law itself has many shortcomings:
- It claims to be binding, but there is no provision for this in Catalan or Spanish law.
- It has no minimum turnout requirement.
- It sets the referendum for October 1, giving both proponents and opponents little time to mount a campaign.
- The regional government is campaigning for independence, but no public funds are being made available for the “no” side.
- In case the separatists prevail, the plan is to declare independence from Spain within two days. What’s the rush?
Rajoy vows to do “whatever is necessary” to prevent referendum
- Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy has vowed to do “whatever is necessary” to prevent the Catalan referendum from happening.
- His government challenged the legality of the referendum to the Constitutional Court, which promptly suspended the law while it considers arguments.
- Prosecutors have filed criminal charges against senior Catalan officials, including the regional president and speaker of parliament.
- Law enforcement agencies in Catalonia have been instructed to seize ballot boxes.